I know this is a high school blog, but…
Monday, March 17th, 2008I had to get my NCAA tournament picks out there for public consumption and mockery. I’ve got two 11 seeds in the Elite 8, both from the Big 12 — Kansas State and Baylor. And for whatever reason, I feel like Kansas State is more of a reach than Baylor. The Bears have really good guards, also the strength of their likely first three opponents — Purdue, Xavier and Duke. That will make it easier, I perceive, for Baylor to control the tempo, score a lot of points and possibly pull off some upsets. That’s just how I see it — I’m not an expert or even a semi-expert by any means.
As far as Kansas State goes, for all that talent to be wasted on an 11 seed is a shame to me. I haven’t liked Frank Martin as a coach since he started at KSU, and I present the last month of the season as justification to that feeling. Since KSU beat Kansas, I’ve compared the ‘Cats to the Syracuse team that won it all a few years ago. Like this KSU team, that team was loaded with talented freshmen, including Carmelo Anthony. But Syracuse had a coach that could make it all work, Jim Boeheim. The ‘Cats, to me, are just undisciplined, and that lies on the coach. I don’t think the rest of the team, guys who are used to being The Man, know how to play with Beasley, who’s obviously on another level. I don’t think they like to defer to him and let him take the big shots. I think everybody on that team wants to do it himself. They’ve still got time to figure it out, and judging by my pick of them into the Elite 8, I guess I think they will. But I’m not so sure.
Anyway, my Final 4 is Tennessee, Kansas, Texas and UCLA. I think Kansas is the most likely No. 1 seed to reach the Final 4 because they don’t have a real challenge on the way to getting there. If the Jayhawks meet Georgetown, I don’t see any way the Hoyas can keep up. Same with Wisconsin. Memphis doesn’t shoot free throws well enough, which I think will catch up with the Tigers. I like Tennessee just a smidge better than North Carolina because of the senior Chris Lofton, and UCLA may even slip up against Texas A&M in the second round. But I hope not, because I got ‘em in the Final 4.
