Kansas.com KSN

By Taylor Eldridge

I’ll keep updating this preview throughout the day on Friday, so keep checking back.

No time to waste, let’s get right down to it.

Class 6A

BOYS

Projected Top 10

1. Roy Wedge, Lawrence
2. Andrew Stevens, S.M. South
3. Ryan Hocker, Olathe East
4. Aaron Pope, Washburn Rural
5. Neil Metler, Derby
6. Aaron Thornburg, S.M. Northwest
7. Joseph Springer, Lawrence
8. Sterling Spencer, S.M. Northwest
9. Robbie Martinez-Garcia, W. Northwest
10. Justin Scott, B.V. West

Projected Team Finish

1. Lawrence
2. Washburn Rural
3. S.M. South
4. S.M. Northwest
5. Campus
6. S.M. West
7. B.V. West
8. Lawrence Free State
9. Derby
10. W. Northwest
11. W. East
12. Maize

GIRLS

Projected Top 10

1. Avery Clifton, Washburn Rural
2. Emily Hornbeck, Derby
3. Dani Walker, Maize
4. Amber Green, Derby
5. Lisa Imgrund, S.M. Northwest
6. Triana Thompson, Junction City
7. Brenna MacDonnold, Olathe East
8. Amber Eichkorn, W. North
9. Mandy Hollis, Junction City
10. Christina Smith, Manhattan

Projected Team Finish

1. Washburn Rural
2. Manhattan
3. Olathe East
4. S.M. South
5. Derby
6. B.V. West
7. S.M. West
8. Goddard
9. S.M. Northwest
10. Maize
11. Olathe South
12. Dodge City

Area Team Preview

  • Campus Boys

Running order: Bryant Keirns, Brock Nooney, Nick Ward, Chris Kelly, Cooper Clark, Jeremy Shear, Kyle Smith.
X-Factor: Nick Ward
Outlook: The team is a long shot to win the team title, but to get a trophy is not out of the question. Keirns and Nooney will need to run good races and likely place in the top-15 for a chance. But the real question is what Nick Ward will show up? If he is running at peak form, than I think Campus has a real shot to get in the top-3.

  • Northwest Boys

Running order: Robbie Martinez-Garcia, Daniel Herbert, Andrew Johnson, Kevin Crafton, Max Surmeier, Michael McCormick, Drake Brown.
X-Factor: Daniel Herbert & Andrew Johnson
Outlook: I think RMG is going to run solid and get in the top-10. That means it will be up to Herbert and Johnson for the team score. How well those two should determine how far up Northwest can climb. You sort of know what you’re getting from No. 1 and No 4 and No. 5, but how those 2 and 3 slots shake out is crucial for Northwest.

  • Derby boys

Running order: Neil Metler, Brandon Lewis, Vontez Long-Curry, Darren Dawdy, Craig Compton, Jake Nugen, Max Runyon.
X-Factor: Brandon Lewis
Outlook: Derby is feeling pretty lucky to be in the state meet right now, but they won’t take it for granted. Metler is going to give a huge edge to Derby over East with a top-5 score likely. I think VLC, Dawdy and Compton have all been pretty solid this season and they are going to finish right around expected. But the real question mark is the freshman, Lewis. He has such great potential that he can really give Derby a good shot to finish in the middle of the pack if he runs well.

  • East boys

Running order: Aaron Heil, Will Marsh, Jesse Parker, Jacob Seamster-Davis, David Perales, Tanner Follis, Quentin Brown.
X-Factor: Will Marsh
Outlook: East’s lack of a big time runner hurts them here at the state meet, but I still think its depth will play out well. Heil is going to be consistent and get top-20, but can Marsh run a great race again and join him? He’s sort of been all over the place this season, but I think he breaks through and joins Heil in the top-20. The team should be finishing right around Derby once again.

  • Maize boys

Running order: Ryan Hopkins, Eli Ybarra, Daniel Van Sickle, Landon Kilgore, Brooks Rummery, Kris Jacobsen, Richard Nance.
X-Factor: Ryan Hopkins
Outlook: Probably are fighting an uphill battle at state. They are a good team and getting to the state meet is a great accomplishment for this team, but they are going to have to run outstanding to get in single digits. Hopkins will set the tone and put a good score first for Maize. If he can sneak in to the top-15, Maize will be looking good but if he is middle of the pack then the Eagles will likely be fighting for a team finish in the top-10.

  • Derby girls

Running order: Emily Hornbeck, Amber Green, Valerie Nielson, Lindsay Cuadra, Brenna Kleman, Claire Cox, Kaitlan Kleman
X-Factor: Lindsay Cuadra
Outlook: I think Derby is probably the best shot from the Wichita are at a team trophy. You know Hornbeck and Green are going to be up there and likely top-5 or 6. And Nielson has been pretty consistent and should provide a solid third score, but the potential lies in Cuadra. She has shown flashes at time, but if she can put it together for Derby at the right time, then the Panthers might sneak up and snag that third place trophy.

  • Goddard girls

Running order: Megan Ballinger, Courtney Maddux, Julie Randall, Sarah Irsik, Tiana Hacker, Meredith Skidmore, Briana Pina.
X-Factor: Julie Randall
Outlook: The team beat Derby at league and would have likely won a regional title if Irsik had ran, but I think Derby’s two studs at the top will be the edge this time. Ballinger will be up there in the top-10 likely, but it will likely come down to Maddux and Randall’s races. They’ve been outstanding all season and they’ll need to be one more time if Goddard wants to pull a shocker.

  • Maize girls

Running order: Dani Walker, Mary Kranick, Kelsy McNay, Najai Hill, Alex Johnson, Sarah Allen, Corinne Penner.
X-Factor: Kelsy McNay
Outlook: Walker will be in the top-5 and Kranick and Hill have proven over the course of the season that they are going to be consistent and put up good scores. But McNay, on the other hand, has been all over the place. She missed some of the season and returned and was running really well. If she can get back on track, she has the potential to be the team’s No. 2 runner but if she’s not than she could just as easily be  the fifth score.

Class 5A

BOYS

Projected Top 10

1. Cameron Sprague, Hutchinson
2. Adam Porter, McPherson
3. Josh Munsch, Hays
4. David Thor, Bishop Carroll
5. Javier Segura, Topeka West
6. Seth Tophoj, Hays
7. Cliff Kissling, Bishop Carroll
8. Morgan Riggs, Liberal
9. Brooks Ballou, Bonner Springs
10. Chris Wise, Hutchinson

Projected Team Finish

1. Bishop Carroll
2. McPherson
3. St. Thomas Aquinas
4. Liberal
5. Topeka West
6. Hutchinson
7. Mill Valley
8. Kapaun Mount Carmel
9. KC Turner
10. Newton
11. Gardner-Edgerton
12. Topeka Seaman

GIRLS

Projected Top 10

1. Mackenzie Maki, Kapaun Mount Carmel
2. Kaelyn Balch, Bishop Carroll
3. Ashley Washburn, St. Thomas Aquinas
4. Clarissa Johnson, Gardner-Edgerton
5. Anastasiya Menestrina, Bishop Carroll
6. Rubi Torres, Great Bend
7. Meagan Wilderson, St. Thomas Aquinas
8. Libby Renzin, St. Thomas Aquinas
9. Shannon Ahlstedt, Newton
10. Page Miller, Pittsburg

Projected Team Finish

1. St. Thomas Aquinas
2. Bishop Carroll
3. Newton
4. Hutchinson
5. Great Bend
6. Gardner-Edgerton
7. Bishop Miege
8. Lansing
9. Kapaun Mount Carmel
10. Pittsburg
11. McPherson
12. Topeka Seaman

Area Team Preview

  • Bishop Carroll boys

Running order: David Thor, Cliff Kissling, James Hampton, Andy Schepis, Gage Garcia, Logan Sageser, Spencer Bailly.
X-Factor: The freshman
Outlook: Thor and Kissling will be up there int he top-10 no doubt and I think Schepis will bounce back with a solid race at state. But if Carroll is going to lock up a state team title then they need good production from the frosh: Hampton, Garcia, Sageser and Bailly. If two of those four put up solid scores, than I think Carroll wins the team title no sweat.

  • McPherson boys

Running order: Adam Porter, Caleb Porter, Morgan Peterson, Nikolous Rempe, Preston Mossman, Sklyer Janda, David Shorman.
X-Factor: Morgan Peterson
Outlook: You know that Porter is in the top-2 no matter what. And you know his younger brother, Caleb, is probably going to step up to the big stage, as well. But how well Peterson, a senior, step up? He’s been a little sketchy in recent weeks, but I think he puts together his best race of the season. If he does, than Mac might make some noise and slide into that second team slot ahead of STA.

  • Hutchinson boys

Running order: Cameron Sprague, Chris Wise, Seaver Williams, Tyler Williams, Derek Mitchell, Shane Goetz, Steven Banz.
X-Factor: The Williams’ brothers
Outlook: Sprague should be top-3 no matter what. Wise should be top-10. That sets the stage for the Salt Hawks’ No.3-No. 5 to make something happen. If they are going to pass up Mac, than they’re going to have to have good races from both Williams in the 3 and 4 slots. It should be a close race, but the Salt Hawks are going to have to run outstanding to get higher than 4th.

  • Kapaun Mount Carmel boys

Running order: Tim Wescott, Tony Baldessari, Cody Saunders, Matt Ayres, Kory Glasgow, Sam Breitenbach, Alex Lievens.
X-Factor: Kory Glasgow
Outlook: They got here without a true No. 1 runner and if they are going to surprise some people, they’re going to have to do it on its depth. Wescott and Baldessari were solid last week and Saunders and Ayres should be pretty reliable scores at the state meet. But Glasgow has some good high-end potential and that’s what Kapaun needs to tap into if they are going to finish in the middle of the pack.

  • Newton boys

Running order: Laban Lalouette, Austin Lettau, Joel Gouvion, Dylan Koerner, Dilan Winter, Jerek Shoemaker, Cody MIck.
X-Factor: Laban Lalouette
Outlook: Talk about a surprise team, that would be this team. Lalouette surprise everyone and really ran well at Regionals last week. How well he runs this time around at the state meet will see if Newton can repeat its performance. This team has been pretty banged up and sick all season, so it’s hard to tell what to expect. When healthy, Lalouette and Lettau are great runners.

  • Bishop Carroll girls

Running order: Kaelyn Balch, Anastasiya Menestrina, Christian McCaulley, Brandy Tholstrup, Kristen Sponsel, Natalie Englert, Megan Walden.

X-Factor: No. 3-No. 5 runners

Outlook: It’s hard to believe, but Carroll might be the underdog heading in after being the favorite all season long. Balch and Menestrina match up well and should actually edge the first and second STA girls, but it’s how the 3-5 runners stack up that will determine the team title. If Carroll can get clutch performances from McCaulley, Tholstrup or Sponsel, than they might be raising a team title on Saturday.

  • Newton girls

Running order: Shannon Ahlstedt, Mallorie Coffman, Erin Loeffler, Laci McCartney, Kelsi Langley, Ardys Woodward, Amy Kondziola.

X-Factor: Kelsi Langley

Outlook: The top three on this team has been amazingly consistent all season long. You know they’re going to be up there probably in the top-15. That puts Newton in pretty solid standing against everyone that isn’t named BC or STA. But the difference might be the freshman, Langley. She popped up last name and ran a great time, so if she can repeat that then Newton will have 3rd place wrapped up sooner than later.

  • Hutchinson girls

Running order: Madison Schrock, Shalonda Maple, Rachel Seitz, Maggie Heck, Erin Allender, Jeni Page, Kylie Sieple.

X-Factor: Shalonda Maple

Outlook: This might be the surprise team of the meet. I like the depth that the Salt Hawks have and I think they sneak up on Newton if its not careful. It really depends on how Maple and Schrock run. If they can at least stay somewhere close to the Newton girls, than a trophy might be theirs. Maple ran probably her best race of the season last week, so if she can repeat it than Hutch will make things interesting.

  • Kapaun Mount Carmel girls

Running order: Mackenzie Maki, Marie Schaller, Veronica Kolejakova, Bridgette Volliere, Katie Hand, Megan Crawford, Melissa Davied.

X-Factor: Katie Hand

Outlook: Maki will be either 1st or 2nd and Schaller should be in the top-20. After that, it’s a big unknown for Kapaun. They stepped up and ran well last week, but they’ll need to turn it into another gear for this meet. The key might be Hand, who has been up and down this season. If she can peak at the right time, than Kapaun might be able to finish in the middle of the pack.

Class 4A

BOYS

Projected Top 10

1. Evan Landes, Mulvane
2. Riley Woodward, Wamego
3. Tony Weiss, Baldwin
4. Nikki Trooien-Smith, Mulvane
5. Nick Lockwood, Mulvane
6. Hudson Phillip, Wamego
7. James Wilson, Abilene
8. Israel Mendoza, Ulysses
9. Austin Hinchley, Desoto
10. Sam McDaniel, Scott City

Projected Team Finish

1. Mulvane
2. Wamego
3. Desoto
4. Baldwin
5. Clay Center
6. Ulysses
7. Hesston
8. Hugoton
9. Valley Center
10. Anderson County
11. Santa Fe Trail
12. Paola

GIRLS

Projected Top 10

1. Molly Milbourn, El Dorado
2. Morgan Wedekind, Valley Center
3. Cheyenne Becker, Pratt
4. Kristin Strecker, Topeka Hayden
5. Bridgette McCormick, St. James
6. Haylee Steffen, Abilene
7. Amy Feldkamp, St. James
8. Ellie Sheridan, Desoto
9. Brielle Lund, Clay Center
10. Rachelle Harmon, Holton

Projected Team Finish

1. Baldwin
2. Desoto
3. Clearwater
4. Wamego
5. Topeka Hayden
6. Clay Center
7. Valley Center
8. St. James
9. Buhler
10. Chanute
11. El Dorado
12. Andale

  • anotherunner

    6A Boys
    Wedge, Roy Lawrence (12)
    Metler, Neil Derby (12)
    Stevens, Andrew Shawnee Mission South (12)
    Sloan, Logan Lawrence Free State (11)
    Spencer, Sterling Shawnee Mission NW (11)
    6A Girls
    Clifton, Avery Washburn Rural (12)
    Hornbeck, Emily Derby (10)
    Walker, Dani Maize (12)
    Green, Amber Derby (10)
    Imgrund, Lisa Shawnee Mission NW (12)
    5A Boys
    Porter, Adam McPherson (12)
    Sprague, Cameron Hutchinson (12)
    Munch, Josh Hays (12)
    Tophoj, Seth Hays (11)
    Thor, David Bishop Carroll (10)
    5A Girls
    Balch, Kaelyn Bishop Carroll (9)
    Maki, Mackenzie Kapaun Mt. Carmel (11)
    Washburn, Ashley Saint Thomas Aquinas (12)
    Renzin, Libby Saint Thomas Aquinas (9)
    Miller, Page Pittsburg (12)
    4A Boys
    Woodward, Riley Wamego (11)
    Landes, Evan Mulvane (11)
    Weiss, Tony Baldwin (11)
    Trooien-Smith, Nikki Mulvane (12)
    Philip, Hudson Wamego (10)
    4a Girls
    Wedekind, Morgan Valley Center (9)
    Milbourn, Molly El Dorado (11)
    Becker, Cheyenne Pratt (10)
    McKendricks, Bridgette St. James Academy (12)
    Vining, Brooke Valley Center (12)

  • ccfan27

    Taylor-
    I think you accidentally switched places for a couple of teams in girls 6A. You have Manhattan at 7th and BV West at 2nd???? These two need to be switched. I also don’t see how Olathe East does not finish in the top 3. They have won every meet they ran in (excluding the Southern Stampede where they were still the #1 Kansas team) and have already beat Shawnee Mission South (Sunflower League Meet) and Washburn Rural (Seaman Invitational).

    Logan Sloan (LFS) suffered a concussion in his regional race last weekend so his perfomance this week may suffer. Look out for Hocker of OE to break the top three. He PR’d by more than 15 seconds last week on a muddy course finishing only 11 seconds behind Roy Wedge.

    Thanks for all of the work you do. It is great to be able to read real reporting on XC which is something we don’t find at all in the KC area.

  • Kick

    Woah, Logan had a concussion? How did that happen?

  • trackdad

    Sprague over Porter?
    Porter was so dominant at the state track meet and has been undefeated in cross country. I think his kick is too good for the other top runners.

  • Brayden Barrientez

    My 6A Individual Predictions
    1. Roy Wedge, Lawrence
    2. Andrew Stevens, Shawnee Mission West
    3. Neil Metler, Derby
    4. Bryant Keirns, Campus
    5. Aaron Pope, Washburn Rural
    6. Ryan Hocker, Olathe East
    7. Robbie Martinez Garcia, Wichita Northwest
    8. Aaron Thornburg, Shawnee Mission Northwest
    9. Logan Sloan, Lawrence Free State
    10. Jonah Heng, Shawnee Mission West
    Don’t take them too seriously, as I’m not a professional like Taylor. Lawrence will probably win the team title, but Campus will not take 6th. I know that the team side of the meet is very competitive this year, but I think they’ll get the job done and break the top 3.

  • Old Jayhawk

    Porter is not undefeated in cross-country this year. Wedge beat him by a large margin at the Emporia Invitational. There should be great individual and team races at Rim Rock!

  • XC Dad

    RocketXC10:

    Maybe you should learn to read. Taylor has Sprague beating Porter. Thats why the #1 is in front of Sprague and the #2 is in front of Porter. Anotherunner has Porter winning. Read it again before you pipe off and make yourself look like an idiot.

  • ccfan27

    Kick -
    Not sure how Sloan got the concussion, but he could barely finish the race. Early in the race, he was in three way race with Hocker and Wedge who had all broken away from the pack.

    Brayden -
    Hate to disagree with you, but the top 3 teams will be Lawrence, Washburn Rural, and Shawnee Mission South. Only way Campus breaks in to that group is if Washburn has a top 5 runner go down or be ill (they are not as deep with 6 and 7 runners as both Lawrence and SM South). btw – Stevens runs for SM South. I know Keirns is your sentimental favorite, but his best this year is 16:29 – he’ll need to run under 16:10 to finish in the top 5. Rim Rock is a hard course to PR on, but it can be done. Three guys (Sloan, Wedge, and Stevens) were under 16:10 at Rim Rock two weeks ago and Saturday’s race wil probably be faster.

  • teldridge

    anotherrunner:

    Those look good to me. It’s so hard to predict these things, so your guess is as good as mine.

  • teldridge

    ccfan27:

    Good call on those teams. I re-did the rankings to make sure and I did mess something up, so I switched a few things. And thanks for the read, I really appreciate it. I’ve tried to make this season a lot more fun for everyone and hopefully it worked. Keep reading and I know I don’t cover TOO much KC area, but feel free to spread the word. I’ll do this for track too.

  • teldridge

    trackdad:

    I know, such a tough call. Well, actually I bet 99% people will pick Porter. I don’t know, they are both great racers and there is no real evidence to think Porter will lose now. I guess just call it a hunch. I think it will come down to the final 400-meters and it should be an amazing race. Nothing against Porter, I actually think Mac pulls the upset and sneaks into 2nd too.

  • teldridge

    Brayden:

    Agree with you that Campus has some good potential and I think they can sneak in there for the 3rd place trophy, but they are going to have to all run crazy-good races. Not saying they can’t, but I think the northeast is just too stacked this year as far as team-wise go.

    And thanks, but I don’t think I’m anything close to a professional lol. I’ve never ran a 5k or any cross country race at all. Never been interested in running. Just trying to do my job and give the sport some coverage haha.

  • teldridge

    XC Dad:

    Ha, yeah had to delete that one. I just wonder sometimes if some of the people on here know how to read…

  • xcrun

    WOO you so made my day when you said you were doing this during track!

    Go long distance!

  • wiensWR

    Great picks. I should mention that our boys 6 and 7 are actually very competitive with the other programs. Due to illness suffered the past two weeks they have not looked their best, but both have run 17:36 and are extremely capable as well as recovered.
    It is very exciting to see the confidence in our girls team. They have really improved and both teams are ready to go tomorrow!

  • Brayden Barrientez

    CCfan27- I knew Andrew Stevens was Shawnee Mission South, but I realize now I typed that wrong. Just my human side showing I guess… As for Bryant Keirns, I’ll concede that he’s my “sentimental favorite.” We’ve been training partners and great friends for a long time. But I really do think he can take that fourth place spot, and wouldn’t be the least bit surprised. Yes, it’d require a big PR, but I PR’d by about 25 seconds at Rim Rock last year. I think that’s just how our training works.
    Taylor- I remember you mentioning that you’ve never been a runner before, but I still think you do a great job with the predictions and stories. I doubt many folks can tell you’re not a runner.

  • b.shel

    I think Nooney from Campus is overlooked, I think he will suprise some people!

  • XC Rocks

    Just heard Nooney from Campus took 4th.

  • b.shel

    Yes he did!! We are soo proud of him and his team!! His team finished 4th!! They were predicted to get 6th. WAY TO GO BROCK AND THE CAMPUS COLTS!!